Bitcoin Speculators Retreat As Long-Term Holders Double Down Since $69,000 Peak


The Bitcoin market continues to reveal trends and patterns, vital for both long-term holders and short-term speculators. Notably, since Bitcoin reached its all-time high of $69,000, speculators, who play a pivotal role in the market, now hold less of the cryptocurrency.

This insight comes from prominent analytics firm Glassnode in its “The Week On-Chain” newsletter, which delves into the market’s dynamics and potential implications.

Bitcoin Stagnation And Role Of Short-Term Holders

The Bitcoin market has witnessed a prolonged period marked by relatively steady BTC price action. This phase has sown seeds of discontent among market participants, prompting speculation about potential downside risks.

Related Reading: Bernstein Predicts Spot ETFs Could Claim 10% Of Bitcoin’s Market If Greenlit

So far, the asset only hovers between $29,000 and $25,000 price points creating a tug-of-war between the bulls and bears in that price zones.

A noteworthy shift in the Bitcoin market is the dwindling enthusiasm of its short-term traders, commonly referred to as speculators. This group, typically driven by the prospects of swift gains, seems to be re-evaluating its stance, perhaps deterred by the recent lack of significant price movement.

Glassnode points out that the market share of these short-term holders has ebbed to a mere 2.56 million BTC. This stands in stark contrast to their presence in October 2021, right before Bitcoin soared to its record high.

Yet, while these speculators recede, long-term holders, often viewed as the bedrock of the Bitcoin community, are seemingly undeterred. Their stronghold over the currency is tightening, with a current hold of 14.6M BTC, the highest ever recorded.

The report noted:

Overall, this suggests that conviction of Bitcoin investors does remain impressively high, and very few are willing to liquidate their holdings.

Bitcoin Holders Threshold chart.
Bitcoin Holders Threshold chart. | Source: Glassnode

A Market Teetering On Decisions

The distinction in purchase prices between the two investor classes has been highlighted as a potential concern. According to the newsletter, Short-term speculators, having bought at a higher average price of $28,600, might be more susceptible to incurring losses with even a modest dip in Bitcoin’s price.

On the other hand, long-term investors, with an aggregate purchase price substantially lower at around $20,300, seem more cushioned against market volatility.

Bitcoin Holders On-chain Cost Basis.
Bitcoin Holders On-chain Cost Basis. | Source: Glassnode

This variance in purchasing prices, combined with the contrasting reactions of the two investor groups, paints a picture of a market in flux, divided between those who believe in Bitcoin’s long-term value and those swayed by its immediate price trajectories.

Glassnode believes that “The separation between these two cost basis is an indicator that many recent buyers have a relatively elevated acquisition price.”

Despite the current market uncertainty, an underlying sentiment that remains clear is the confidence of Bitcoin’s stalwarts. Their increasing hold suggests a steadfast belief in Bitcoin’s potential, even as speculators seem to waver amid its current price downturn.

Bitcoin (BTC)’s price chart on TradingView
Bitcoin (BTC)’s price is moving sideways on the 4-hour chart. Source: BTC/USD on TradingView.com

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView



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